S&P says global credit outlook stable, but geopolitical risks over US-China trade war remain high

Published 04.04.2018 00:00
Updated 04.04.2018 22:29
emAP Photo/em
AP Photo

The U.S.-based credit rating agency Standard & Poor's (S&P) said Wednesday that despite the global credit outlook being stable, global geopolitical risks remained high, which predominantly stemmed from escalating tensions between the world's two largest economies, the U.S. and China.

Big U.S. manufacturers, grain merchants and chipmakers were the early casualties after China and the U.S. announced tariffs on $50 billion of each others' imports, cementing fears they were moving toward a trade war.

The speed with which the trade spat between Washington and Beijing is ratcheting up – the Chinese government took less than 11 hours to respond with its own measures – led to a sharp sell-off in global stock markets and commodities.

At 8:57 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 459 points, or 1.91 percent. S&P 500 e-minis fell 34.5 points, or 1.32 percent and Nasdaq 100 e-minis declined 103.5 points, or 1.6 percent.

The declines were broad based. All 30 Dow Jones Industrial Average components were lower in premarket trading. About 268 of the S&P 500 components were lower. Only two of the most active U.S. stocks premarket were higher.

"It's tit-for-tat as China retaliates, sending the markets in a tailspin. Today's decline will likely accelerate the pace of testing the indices yearly lows in the coming days," said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at First Standard Financial in New York.

The stock futures implied the S&P 500 would not only open below its 200-day moving average, a key support level watched by technical analysts, but also challenge its 2018 low from Feb. 9.

China levied 25 percent additional tariffs on U.S. goods earlier in the day. But unlike Washington's list that covers many obscure industrial items, Beijing's covers 106 key U.S. imports including soybeans, planes, cars, and chemicals.

As has been the case since the trade war fears surfaced, industrials were the worst hit. Shares of Boeing, the single largest U.S. exporter to China, tumbled 4.6 percent. Caterpillar fell 3.5 percent.

Automakers Ford, General Motors, Fiat Chrysler and Tesla fell between 2 percent and 4 percent.

Grain merchant Archer Daniels was down 2.8 percent, while Bunge slipped 2.5 percent.

Chipmakers, many of which have the highest revenue exposure to China among S&P 500 companies, also fell. All components of the Philadelphia chipmakers index trading premarket were lower, led by AMD's 4 percent drop.

"As a sector, technology has the most to lose from a world in which global trade is restricted and of course, some of the subjects of the tariffs, will also be hit," said Rick Meckler, president of investment firm LibertyView Capital Management in Jersey City, New Jersey.

Investors headed for safer bets. U.S. 10-year Treasury yield was last down 2.75 basis points at 2.76 percent, while gold prices went up more than 1 percent.

Share on Facebook Share on Twitter