Pollster: AK Party can be ruling party with right strategy
by Daily Sabah
ANKARASep 01, 2015 - 12:00 am GMT+3
by Daily Sabah
Sep 01, 2015 12:00 am
As Turkey is heading to early elections with only two months left, Istanbul-based A&G research company President Adil Gür said that if previously made mistakes are analyzed thoroughly then the Justice and Development Party (AK Party) can achieve success and become the single ruling party. President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan approved the caretaker government on Aug. 28 when coalition talks between the AK Party and Republican People's Party (CHP) ended without success and the Nationalist Movement Party (MHP) shut its doors to all political parties.
After Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoğlu sent an invitation to MHP Ankara deputy Tuğrul Türkeş, son of MHP founder Alparslan Türkeş, to participate in the caretaker government, Gür said on Monday that Türkeş agreeing to the position has crippled the MHP's election strategy. Speaking to Sabah newspaper, Gür said: "Throughout the upcoming elections, the MHP was aiming to follow a campaign that claims the AK Party is cooperating with the PKK. However, with the participation of Türkeş and [former Grand Unity Party chairman] Yalçın Topçu, such propaganda has vanished."
Gür also said Türkeş's participation in the caretaker government may lead to the AK Party regaining the votes it lost to the MHP in the last elections. Underlining that the MHP's percent of votes has dropped, Gür said that the MHP's stance refraining to take responsibility caused a drop in support.
In addition, Gür underlined that the AK Party needs to come up with a new story and that it needs to thoroughly analyze its mistakes. "The political parties that will assess the June 7 results will be the ones to succeed in the upcoming elections. A special campaigning must be made," Gür said. In this regard, he said the AK Party must focus on provinces where it lost votes with small percentages while not disregarding the ones it won in. Gür further predicted that if there were an election tomorrow the AK Party would receive 43 percent to 44 percent of vote, the CHP 26 percent to 27, MHP 13 percent to 14 and Peoples' Democratic Party (HDP) 12 percent to 13 percent.
The AK Party is also leading the polls with 43.7 percent, according to a recent survey by the Objective Research Center (ORC).
The ORC conducted personal interviews with 2,450 people in 34 cities between Aug. 22 and Aug. 25. Responding to the question of who they will vote for in the elections, 43.7 percent of interviewees said they would vote for the AK Party while 27.5 percent said they would vote for the CHP. The MHP took third place with 14.3 percent of interviewees indicating they will vote for them and the pro-Kurdish HDP will pass the threshold again, as 11.2 percent of interviewees indicated they would vote for them.
Additionally, 51.5 percent of interviewees said they found Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoğlu's attitude positive in the coalition talks with the CHP and MHP. A total of 85 percent of interviewees also said their disapproved of MHP Chairman Devlet Bahçeli's attitude during the talks.
Concerning the discourse of HDP Co-Chair Selahattin Demirtaş and of party officials with regard to the reconciliation process, 84.5 percent of those interviewed found it insincere. A total of 84.9 percent of the interviewees also indicated they support the operations conducted by the Turkish Armed Forces (TSK) and security officials against the PKK, the Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham (ISIS) and other terrorist organizations. A total of 87.5 percent of the interviewees also said they support the operations conducted against Gülen Movement infiltration in state institutions including the judiciary, bureaucracy and police.