2023 economy will be 'a lot better than feared': ECB’s Lagarde
ECB Head Christine Lagarde speaks during the 53rd annual meeting of the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, Jan. 19, 2023. (EPA Photo)


The eurozone economy will fare "a lot better" this year than initially feared, European Central Bank (ECB) chief Christine Lagarde said Thursday, as hopes grow that countries can avoid a painful recession.

The economic "news has become much more positive in the last few weeks," Lagarde told an audience at the World Economic Forum in Davos.

The rhetoric has shifted from talk of a recession in the 20-nation club to "a small contraction," she said, with some major economies like Germany possibly dodging a contraction altogether.

The ECB is expecting 0.5% growth in the eurozone in 2023, according to its latest forecast.

"So, it's not a brilliant year, but it is a lot better than what we had feared," Lagarde said.

The cautious optimism comes as sky-high energy prices, which soared last year because of the war in Ukraine, have started to fall.

Mild winter weather has also helped, easing fears of gas shortages.

Lower energy costs have contributed to a drop in eurozone inflation, which peaked at 10.6% in October.

Consumer price growth slowed to 9.2% in December, fueling hopes that inflation had finally passed its zenith.

Lagarde however warned that inflation was still "way too high."

The ECB has already hiked interest rates aggressively to tame inflation, lifting its key rates by 2.5 percentage points since July.

Lagarde reiterated that further interest rate raises would follow in order to bring inflation back to the ECB's two-percent target.

"We shall stay the course," Lagarde said.

"There is determination at the ECB to bring inflation back to 2% in a timely manner, and we should stay the course until we have been in restrictive territory for long enough to bring inflation down."

On the upside, she added, Europe's job market "has never been as vibrant as it is now."

"The unemployment number is at rock bottom compared with what we've had in the last 20 years. And the participation rate which matters as well, is also (at a) very, very high level, and that is pretty much homogeneous throughout the euro area," Lagarde said.