‘Cold War 2.0' is coming


In the early 1990s when the Cold War ended, hopes for the future of the world were getting stronger. The point we have reached 27 years after the war ended has wiped away all hopes. That is because institutions such as the United Nations (U.N.), the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the World Bank (WB) and the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) of the Cold War era could not come up with solutions for global poverty, unemployment, and inequalities between regions. On top of that, at a period when international terrorist and crime organizations were gaining power, NATO and the U.N. Security Council remained passive against the increasing asymmetric threats. From the very beginning Turkey joined all these international institutions that constitute the trivets of the international political economy system formed with the leadership of the U.S. at the end of World Word II and the country has made great sacrifices for the safety of the Western World. A serious price was paid against a possible invasion by the Soviet Union.The interesting thing is, Turkey had entered a path to transform itself into a market economy and to strengthen its "playmaker" role in Eurasia with one of the most important politicians in the country, Turgut Özal, when the Cold War was easing up, and when, first the East Block, then the Soviet Union, was going through a dissolution process. However, during the 1990s, especially during the coalition government period following Özal's death, even though the Cold War was over, Turkey could not escape the torments of the Cold War. When the ruling Justice and Development Party (AK Party) came to power alone at the end of 2002, with critically important reforms and growth performance triggered by political stability, Turkey became a country that separated ways with the IMF - in 2008 - and furthermore, reached the position of a country lending to the IMF, and that is how the first fraction in the economy-politics-security triangle took place.Turkey should clinch to its pivotal roleWhen Turkey overcame the systemic crisis in politics and was taking steps toward a "national and local" security concept in the political and security field, it faced all kinds of traps, from the attack on the Council of State, to the atrocious coup attempt on July 15, so that we do not leave the Cold War scheme, "go along with the IMF," and "not get away from the axis of NATO." The historical, heroic stand of our people against the attempted coup on July 15 means that the "grip of guardianship" of the Cold War institutions on Turkey is wholly gone. With a political and economic structure commanded by the will of the people, we have to go into an intense preparation period for the new "Cold War" era that will increasingly intensify until 2030.It is necessary to position Turkey as a strong "pivot" country for "Cold War 2.0" with the U.S., Russia, and China as different gravity centers, by realizing a radical change of "mentality" in bureaucracy with a consolidated public administration. The proactive politics of world leaders like President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, critical visits to Turkey and Erdoğan's contact with countries in the region has again highlighted Turkey's power as a "playmaker." Turkey will stage a significant referendum process that will further reinforce Turkey's power as a "playmaker."The liberal model is collapsing in the WestThe issues I mentioned in the first two paragraphs of the article will be discussed at the Munich Security Conference that will be held from Feb. 17-19, over the weekend you will be reading this article. The Chairman of the Conference Wolfgang Ischinger said the "Western World" has not been this fragile since World War II. I suggest not missing some of the topics that will be discussed such as their inadequacy of banning fabricated news while trying to not waive freedoms of liberal administrations, in addition to issues such as the global political economy going into the "post-West" era, the liberal world order dominated by the West that is coming to an end, and the weakening of cooperation in the EU.The 90-page Munich Security Report prepared for the summit points to the urgent problems in world politics. The authors of the report draw attention to the fact that this course of events can end the world order established after World War II and believe that the unfavorable developments in democratic countries are as much evidence to the fact that this mistrust is not groundless as are the dissociation of global and regional cooperation and alliances and the un-internalization of disagreements. In the aforementioned report, recommendations were not given on how to respond to these problems threatening the world. Possible solutions and analysis aimed at the various serious global and regional issues will be discussed during the Munich Security Conference that will be held this weekend. The organizer of the summit, Wolfgang Ischinger, has emphasized the critical importance of rich content that the speakers and attendees make clear and harsh statements without holding back their words and that the participants openly and sincerely discuss differences of opinion.