European politics in shambles


European Parliamentary elections have sent a very important message to all European leaders: EU voters are not satisfied with the EU or the way it functions and delivers. An important number of seats will go to Europhobe parties, although these movements remain largely in the minority. The majority of the parliament will comprise two conventional parties, the Conservative Group (EPP) and the Socialist Group, which together will control more than 50 percent of votes cast.The decision at the ballot box, described as "an earthquake" by French Prime Minister Manuel Valls, has created anxiety and turmoil among leaders of member states, who convened at an "unofficial" dinner. It is a fact that "Europhobia" has presented itself as a threat to the development and functioning of the EU, but there is perhaps a more immediate concern: There is a majority in the parliament, among "conventional" political groups, who have had enough of the "austerity" policies à la Merkel which do not create any jobs and which puts them in an awkward situation in front of their voters.The EU, at the level of national governments, does just not have enough flexibility or creativity to shift from its basic policies. The future president of the European Commission, given the results of the EP elections, will be Jean-Claude Juncker, former prime minister of Luxemburg, former Eurozone speaker and a very close ally of Merkel policies. Such a leadership will certainly not create many surprises in terms of changing the strategies of the Eurozone and the EU.The problem is that one of the most visible backbones of the EU, the co-operation between France and Germany is severely challenged. Previous French President Sarkozy, after the Euro crisis in 2008, decided to back German Chancellor Merkel, in order to prevent a short-term crisis from growing exponentially. In that sense, his policy has been successful, however he lost the elections mainly because unemployment did not decrease and growth had been absent for too long. His successor, President Francois Hollande, was elected on the grounds that he would negotiate austerity policy with Merkel, mainly the Stability Pact that severely limits public expenditures. He did not negotiate anything, and he has since pulverized all records of aversion on the part of the voters after only two years in office. As a matter of fact, a French president has lost the elections for having supported Angela Merkel's policies and his successor is losing all his credibility and the possible forthcoming elections for not having opposed Angela Merkel policies, and this is simply not sustainable.Whether the Front National gets a lot of votes or not, France will have to change its austerity policy and the French-German engine of the European integration needs a complete overhaul. It is still possible, despite the total absence of empathy on the part of the German Chancellor when it comes to austerity. She sometimes reminds observers of Ronald Reagan advising backward African countries to follow the American way, to be entrepreneurial and encourage sound development. Her austerity policy is not good for the other European economies, and probably the Eurozone has been expanded too rapidly, too leniently, even if Greece is not taken into consideration.A perhaps small positive note for Turkey is that President Hollande has totally reversed France's policy to oust Turkey out of the EU, this week, a very close collaborator of Nicolas Sarkozy has declared in le Nouvel Observateur that former President Sarkozy has totally changed his mind about Turkey's place in Europe, in view of a possible comeback. On her part, Chancellor Merkel did not change her policy about Turkey and does not look uncomfortable with it.