The Scottish referendum, EU and Turkey


International public opinion has had its attention totally caught by the Independence referendum in Scotland for the last few days. Opinion polls showed a very close contest by the end of the campaign period. Scotland voluntarily joined the U.K. more than three centuries ago and enjoys a great amount of autonomy, not to mention any thinkable cultural and linguistic liberty it enjoys. The per capita wealth in Scotland is not inferior to that of Britain and there was no real perspective for any increased development in case of independence. Still, the referendum was held and proponents to stay in the U.K. won the referendum by a distinctive majority of 55.3 percent. There was an eleven point difference between the two blocks, but there was still a very large support for independence.Why would Scotland ask for independence three hundred years after having joined the U.K. and after having obtained wealth, peace, stability and deep going democratic structures? One of the most evident answers is the euroscepticism of the U.K. government. Since the beginning of his tenure, Prime Minister David Cameron has brought to the agenda the appurtenance of the U.K. to the EU: Great Britain, since its entry to the EU in 1973, has always been hesitant to totally embrace European integration. A number of political crises have sprung up due to British reluctance to abide by EU rules. Budgetary provisions, social policy and monetary policy are among the problems created by British membership in the EU.The U.K. always wanted the EU to be a large free trade zone with a light regulatory system in the vein of the European Free Trade Association (EFTA) created by the same U.K. in response to the European Economic Community (EEC) in 1960. The trouble is that the EEC has turned into a society project going in an ever deepening organization and the EFTA merely survived as a cooperation system in trade. The other trouble that became evident is also the fact that the more the U.K. wants to keep its national prerogatives within the EU, the more Scotland (and perhaps Wales and Northern Ireland) would like to have more devolution. On one hand, the emergence of an increased "federative" evolution within the member states and, on the other hand a visible attempt of the member states to keep the EU level governance at bay has been one of the major contradictions of the last decade in Europe.The U.K. government does not want more EU. In fact, there will probably be a referendum to ask the populace whether or not to keep Britain in the EU by 2017. Scotland does want to stay in the EU, it probably would want "more" EU if asked. This is the real problem of the EU – how to establish a functioning distribution of competences between the supranational level that is the EU, the national level represented by the member states and the sub-national or regional level, represented differently in each state with regionalization gaining ground constantly.Up until now, the policy of the EU was to unofficially say, "Turkey is too big, if it becomes a member it could kill the EU". Turkey has thus been kept at bay mostly by disregarding international law. Almost everybody else has been accepted as members and the result is a major scale institutional paralysis and continuing stagnation. Perhaps it is high time, as French President François Hollande said in his press conference on Thursday, to contemplate "a multi-speed Europe." The Scottish referendum, in a sense, has been a very serious forewarning of the present functioning of the EU. Let us see how EU leaders will proceed, whether a new and constructive functioning of the EU will come to the agenda hopefully integrating Turkey for good this time.