Obama's plan against ISIS and Turkey's hesitations

President Obama has revealed the U.S.'s multilayer plan to weaken and ultimately exterminate ISIS. The question that remains, however, is how will the emergence of ISIS-like groups be prevented?



The details of U.S. President Barack Obama's plans to combat the Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham (ISIS) have become clear. According to this plan, Obama will create an international coalition and Iraqi troops, Kurds and moderate Syrian opposition groups will fight against ISIS in the field. Other countries that take part in this coalition will come into play in the rest of the plan. Some of them will provide intelligence support, others will convince Sunni tribes in Iraq and Syria to fight while others will provide arms supplies. Some will prevent ISIS militants from entering and coming out of Syria and Iraq, others will support troops fighting in the field with air strikes while others will be responsible for exterminating ISIS's financial resources and supporting the battle financially. If the plan works perfectly, the Middle East will be rid of ISIS in the medium term. Even though the plan appears to be rational in theory, it actually has a huge hole. This short-term and incomprehensive plan will perhaps work out to minimize ISIS, but it will fail to block the emergence of ISIS with new faces.Obama's plan, which is not a plan of longterm reconstruction and stabilization, cannot go beyond a mere fight and is not sufficient to root ISIS out completely. While proposing this plan, Obama seems to have forgotten the fact that ISIS is not a cause, but rather an effect. In this regard, I need to highlight that this plan will not provide solutions for any long-term problems. There are substantial reasons in Iraq and Syria that led to the emergence and growth of ISIS. Unless these are fully eliminated, every temporal step that will be taken will exacerbate the already chaotic region and will cause more bloodshed. The main reason that strengthened ISIS's hand in Iraq was the stubborn sectarian politics of the former Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki administration. Maliki suffered the consequences of adopting the archaic policies of Iran by losing his seat. These facts, which are realized in Iraq, are ignored in Syria. Unless the Syrian opposition is supported and Bashar Assad stays in power, these extremist organizations will inevitably outcrop into various groups. Obama should revise his plan to ensure stability in Iraq, to change the Syrian administration and to fight ISIS and extremism.If Obama revises this plan, Turkey and other countries in the region will support it more strongly. However, the plan, with its current situation, causes confusion in these countries. Turkey is hesitant about forming a coalition against ISIS, as the militant organization took 49 Turkish diplomats hostage. Ankara worries that these diplomats will suffer the same fate as the American journalists, when it comes face to face with ISIS. What is preventing Ankara from acting against ISIS is not these hostages alone. Even if they are rescued safely, there are 80,000 Turkish nationals working in Iraq and no one can guarantee that they will not be targeted by ISIS. If the plan comes into effect without being revised, new terrorist groups will come into existence even if ISIS is wiped out. So, will Turkey not become a target for ISIS as it is has a long border with Middle Eastern countries? Apart from ISIS, Assad and regional instability are posing enormous threats to Turkey.Obama should draw up a new counterterrorism plan that pursues a Syria without Assad and regional stability. Unless Obama takes steps to revise his plan, Ankara will not take on responsibility under the current circumstances. For now, what Ankara can do is provide intelligence support and humanitarian aid. It can also convince Sunni tribes to fight and prevent ISIS militants from passing through its border - it is reported that so far 6,000 ISIS militants have been rebuffed from Turkish border.