Turkey’s industrial output increases 4.7 percent in March


Turkey's industrial production increased 4.7 percent in March, compared with the same month last year, the Turkish Statistical Institute ("TÜİK" in Turkish) said in a statement on Friday.Total output increased 2.2 percent from the previous month, the statement said.The change surprised analysts who had forecast a rise of 1.7 percent on average and the new data was the strongest industrial output figure since October of last year."The new data suggesting a robust growth performance amid recent interest rate-growth-inflation debates raises the probability of growth performance that will also exceed forecasts," Adnan Çekcen, a financial analyst at Destek Securities in Istanbul, said.Production had risen 1 percent in February year-on-year, reversing a 2.2 percent drop in January. The Mining and Quarrying Index increased 3.8 percent and the Manufacturing Index increased 5 percent. The Electricity, Gas, Steam and Air Conditioning Supply Index also increased 3 percent in March 2015, compared with the same month last year.Industrial output figures are very important since they are deemed as a guide to growth data, Çekcen said. They can be useful to the central bank as a guide in making interest rate decisions, but he warned: "We should see the actual growth figures since industrial output figures are just a preliminary gauge".Interest rates are matter of debate in Turkey as government has repeatedly criticized the central bank for maintaining a tight monetary policy which limits growth. The central bank has maintained high interest rates and has linked interest rate decisions to the inflation outlook.