Turkish markets recover after Moody's downgrade shock

Although the Borsa Istanbul 100 index lost some value on Monday following Moody's' credit downgrade, backed by global optimism, Turkish stocks and the lira gained value, quickly recovering from losses within the day



Borsa Istanbul rebounded slightly at the open Tuesday after it sharply fell in the wake of an unexpected rate cut from Moody's, while the lira gained value against the dollar, quickly recovering its losses.The Borsa Istanbul BIST 100 index was up 0.32 percent or 246.6 points to open at 76,972.34 points following a large loss suffered on Monday due to the rate cut from the U.S.-based credit rating agency Moody's on Friday. Toward the closing session, the index stood at 76,823, preserving its rising trend throughout the day.The index, which slipped as much as 4.5 percent early Monday, managed to close the day at 76,725.73 points, 3.8 percent lower after recovering some ground.According to experts, sharp losses in the Turkish markets were not that worrisome since it coincided with losses as big as 2 percent seen in the European markets. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar rate against the Turkish lira retreated to 2.97 levels.The lira recovered some ground in the early hours of trading as the U.S. dollar versus lira rate was 2.9710 at market open (6:30 a.m. GMT) compared to 2.98 at the close, down 0.3 percent. At later hours, the lira was at 2.9830, maintaining its gains.As parallel to the lira, the Mexican peso rose 2 percent yesterday after record lows against the U.S. dollar, buoyed by a view that Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton fared better than rival Donald Trump in a television debate.The peso was on track for its best daily rise in three weeks, lifting the higher-yielding Canadian dollar along with it. Canada, like Mexico, has close trade ties with the United States and is part of the North American Free Trade Agreement.Markets have tended to regard Clinton as someone who is likely to retain the status quo, while few are sure what a Trump presidency might mean for U.S. foreign policy, international trade deals or the domestic economy.Higher-yielding currencies like the Australian and New Zealand dollars also did well, rising 0.3 percent against the U.S. dollar. The safe-haven yen underperformed."The currency market is dominated by risk-on. Not only the currencies of the neighboring countries Mexico and Canada were able to appreciate notably, but also other conventional risk currencies such as the Aussie, kiwi and the Scandinavian currencies," said Esther Reichelt, currency strategist at Commerzbank."Similar to the June 23 Brexit referendum date, Nov. 8 (the presidential election date) entails some very binary risks. Either everything remains as it is, which a Clinton victory would imply, or there is a likelihood of everything or at least a lot changing rapidly."Earlier, the Mexican peso touched record lows of around 19.92 pesos per dollar on concerns that a Trump victory would threaten Mexico's exports to the United States, its single biggest market. Data from the U.S. Commodity Futures TradingCommission on Friday showed that speculators had recently ramped up their bearish bets against the peso.It was trading at 19.5950 in Europe, up around 1.4 percent on the day. Similarly the Canadian dollar was flat at C$1.3215 per U.S. dollar, having weakened to a six-month low earlier in the Asian trading session.Earlier, both presidential candidates traded barbs and accusations in their first debate. Clinton accused Trump of racism, sexism and tax avoidance while the real estate tycoon, making his first run for public office, said Clinton's long years of service represented "bad experience".A CNN/ORC snap poll said 62 percent of respondents felt Clinton won and 27 percent believed Trump had prevailed."Markets fretted that a strong Trump performance would add to his recent momentum, but the consensus takeaway was that Clinton had the upper hand with a sharp performance and the concern in asset markets yielded to a relief rally," said John Hardy, head of currency strategy at Saxo Bank.