Toward a presidential system


The 2007 presidential election was held in a crisis-ridden political environment as it had always been. The General Staff insisted that a "self-secular president" be elected in the country where tutelage by the military still persisted, and it emphasized on many occasions using various reasons, that it did not want a presidential candidate whose wife wore a headscarf. Meanwhile, neo-nationalist circles poured onto the streets to stage "Republican rallies" in an attempt to suppress politics via a wide spectrum of plots from threatening the government to calling the military for duty. Within this period, the Constitutional Court issued an unprecedented verdict stipulating a quorum of 367 parliamentarians to elect the president. When the Turkish Armed Forces issued a memorandum at midnight on Apr. 27, 2007, the government responded against the military for the first time in Turkish political history and took the country to an early election. The Justice and Development Party (AK Party), which had received 34 percent of the vote in the 2000 elections, received 47 percent of the vote in this election. Even though the AK Party's candidate, Abdullah Gül, was elected president by Parliament following the elections, the AK Party called for a referendum to launch an electoral reform that would allow the president to be elected by the public, foreseeing that similar problems would reoccur in every presidential election. Thanks to this amendment, which was accepted with 69 percent of the vote, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan was elected president in the 2014 election. The process saw yet another unprecedented act in Turkish political history. For the first time, the country entered an electoral period in which both the president and prime minister were elected by the public. The AK Party is most likely to win the upcoming 2015 elections as well, and this time, Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoğlu will reassume office as an elected prime minister rather than as an appointed prime minister. Seeing that this would create an anomaly in the current parliamentary system, Erdoğan has been stressing the necessity of a presidential system since the 2011 election. The AK Party's long-standing attempts to formulate a transition to a presidential system become evident when the constitutional drafts presented by each political party in Parliament in 2013 are considered.Considering the perfect harmony between the visions of prime minister and president, it can be said that the country is currently being administered via a de facto presidential system, and Erdoğan does not go beyond the scope of authority set by the 1982 Constitution. This is a conclusion we must draw as far as Erdoğan's undisputable authority on the AK Party's vision is concerned. Now, the question is how this de facto situation will be reflected in the de jure system. The AK Party will enter the 2015 general elections emphasizing its resolution on launching a presidential system. As announced by presidential spokesman İbrahim Kalın, a variety of presidential models will be discussed during this process. We will see what kind of balance the AK Party will pursue between control and authority. Among these uncertainties, however, there are two certainties. The first is that the AK Party has to make this systematic change within the framework of a constitutional reform with a referendum. Since the Turkish public will not accept an authoritarian one-man system, the AK Party will not dare put forward a less competent system than the existing one in terms of the principle of checks and balances. The second is as long as popular support for Erdoğan continues, he will maintain his central role at the core of Turkish political life.