Turkey outpaces G20 in liquidity support to fight COVID-19 fallout
A currency exchange office worker counts Turkish lira banknotes in front of the electronic panel displaying currency exchange rates at an exchange office in Istanbul, Turkey, Aug. 6, 2020. (AFP Photo)


Turkey provided the most liquidity support compared to its gross domestic product (GDP) among other G-20 economies in response to the COVID-19 fallout, according to the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) Fiscal Monitor.

The spread of the virus, declared a pandemic by the World Health Organization (WHO) on March 11, 2020, caused the worst health crisis ever while massively shaking the global economy.

Global economic activities and trade grounded to a halt and millions of people lost their jobs since the declaration of the pandemic.

While the virus hit the economy of developed countries through the health care systems, it also deepened the existing problems in low-income countries.

In a period when international solidarity was needed, countries closed their borders and implemented lockdown measures to stem the spread of the virus, and globalization and international supply chains suffered a breakdown.

While Turkey had to implement closing measures to contain the epidemic, it used support methods such as restructuring loans and debts, liquidity support to the market, low-interest loan facilities, and policy interest changes as part of support and incentives to reduce the economic impact of the pandemic.

According to IMF's April report, Turkey, which is at the bottom of the list of countries that provide the largest support to its citizens compared to developed economies in time of the pandemic, takes the lead among G-20 emerging markets in terms of liquidity supports.

Turkey left behind countries, including China, Brazil, India and South Africa, with a liquidity support to GDP ratio of 9.4%, according to the report.

It was followed by Brazil with 6.2%. The figure was 1.5% in Russia, and 1.3% in China.

The ratio of loans granted under the Treasury-backed credit guarantee system to the country's GDP reached 6.4%.

Turkey has done a lot

Timothy Ash, a senior emerging-market strategist at the London-based BlueBay Asset Management, said: "This underlines that Turkey had plenty of fiscal space given the low debt-GDP ratio to provide COVID-19 release.

Jim Rogers, the investor who co-founded the Quantum Fund with George Soros and chairperson at Rogers Holdings and Beeland Interests in Singapore, stressed that Turkey has done a lot to save its citizens from this disaster as have the U.S., Japan, U.K. and most others.

"Turkey has done more than most of the countries," Rogers noted.

Concerning Turkey maintaining its fiscal discipline while bolstering the economy amid the pandemic and developed economies' high debt ratios compared to their public debt, Rogers said: "I have serious doubts about what Japan, the U.S., the U.K. and others have done since young Americans are inheriting gigantic debt burdens in the future. My children will face huge problems for the rest of their lives."

Turkey's liquidity supports covered semi-fiscal transactions such as equity capital reinforcements, credits, asset purchase or debt undertaking, guarantees and loan payment deferrals.

Within this scope, the Turkey Wealth Fund (TWF) was assigned with capital support to companies whose cash flows are adversely affected by COVID-19.

Refinancing

Public lenders Ziraat Bankasi, Halkbank and Vakifbank postponed principal and interest payments of those firms for at least three months and refinanced them.

The country extended repayment periods for specified credit card loans, launched low-interest credit packages for low-income households, delayed repayments of the tradespeople in April, May and June without penalty, provided new low-interest loans and new credit cards with longer repayment periods for tradespeople and offered new credit packages that protect their employment.

On June 1, public deposit banks launched new retail loan campaigns for house purchases and consumer spending. Farmers’ loans due in May and June have been postponed by six months.

Under the Treasury-backed credit guarantee system, the Credit Guarantee Fund doubled in size from TL 25 billion ($3.67 million) to TL 50 billion as part of the government’s coronavirus Economic Stability Shield package.

Turkey's external gross debt stock amounted to $450 billion as of the end of 2020, 62.8% of its GDP, while net foreign debt totaled $268.9 billion as of Dec. 31, 2020, some 37.5% of the GDP.

Meanwhile, Treasury-guaranteed foreign debt stock reached $14.8 billion in the same period.

The public net debt stock amounted to TL 967.6 billion in the same period.

The EU-defined general government debt stock of the country was nearly TL 2 trillion, or 39.5% of the GDP as of the end of 2020.