Which COVID-19 jab should you get with so many gaining approval?
A health care worker walks at a COVID-19 vaccination drive-thru site at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami, Florida, on Feb. 22, 2021. (Photo by CHANDAN KHANNA / AFP)


Now that the United States is set to approve its third COVID-19 vaccine, Johnson & Johnson's single shot, people must decide: Which jab should I get?

If cleared for emergency use, the Johnson & Johnson vaccine would offer a one-dose option that could help speed vaccinations, tamp down a pandemic that has killed more than half a million people in the U.S. and stay ahead of a mutating virus.

U.S. President Joe Biden (L) and first lady Jill Biden hold a moment of silence during a candlelight ceremony in honor of those who lost their lives to the coronavirus on the South Lawn of the White House in Washington, D.C., Feb. 22, 2021. (Photo by SAUL LOEB / AFP)

"I think it’s going to be huge," said Dr. Virginia Caine, director of the public health department in Marion County, Indiana, which includes Indianapolis. She expects the easier-to-use vaccine will give local officials more flexibility for mobile vaccination clinics or pop-up events.

The challenge will be explaining how protective the Johnson & Johnson shot is after the astounding success of the first U.S. vaccines.

Two doses of the Pfizer and Moderna shots were found to be about 95% effective against symptomatic COVID-19. The numbers from Johnson & Johnson’s study are not that high, but it's not an apples-to-apples comparison. One dose of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine was 85% protective against the most severe COVID-19. After adding in moderate cases, the total effectiveness dropped to about 66%.

"I don’t think it’s a second-tier vaccine, but we’ve got to avoid that perception," said Dr. Thomas Balcezak of Yale New Haven Health System.

The Johnson & Johnson shot was tested in the U.S., Latin America and South Africa at a time when more contagious mutated versions of the virus were spreading. That wasn’t the case last fall when Pfizer and Moderna were wrapping up testing, and it’s not clear if their numbers would hold against the most worrisome of those variants.

People receive a Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine dose during a coronavirus vaccination campaign at Lebanese American University Medical Center-Rizk Hospital in Beirut, Lebanon, Feb. 16, 2021. (REUTERS/Mohamed Azakir)

Importantly, the Food and Drug Administration reported this week that, just like its predecessors, the Johnson & Johnson shot offers strong protection against severe cases. By 28 days after the injection, there were no hospitalizations or deaths in study volunteers given the Johnson & Johnson shot, compared with 16 hospitalizations and seven deaths in those given a dummy shot.

Independent advisers to the FDA will recommend Friday if there's enough evidence to allow widespread use of Johnson & Johnson's vaccine, setting the stage for a final decision within days.

If it rolls out next week, U.S. officials expect to have only a few million doses to divide between states in initial shipments. By the end of March, however, Johnson & Johnson has said it can supply enough to vaccinate 20 million people, a much-needed boost to stretched supplies.

The bottom line: "Whatever vaccine is being offered is what you want," said University of Pennsylvania immunologist E. John Wherry.

Still, the nuances of the vaccines raise ethical questions.

At Yale, Balcezak is struggling with how to make the best use of the Johnson & Johnson shot's advantages without appearing to target it to underserved populations. For example, it’s a logical choice for homeless shelters where people may have moved on before their second dose of the Pfizer or Moderna vaccine.

"I’m very worried about how that would be perceived," Balcezak said.

The Johnson & Johnson vaccine is also easier to handle, lasting three months in the refrigerator compared to the Pfizer and Moderna options, which must be frozen.

Balcezak said the Yale system has been working with pastors and other "cultural ambassadors" to answer vaccine questions from minority communities, and likewise will discuss the Johnson & Johnson shot's possibilities.

In Washington state, health officials see some clear need for one-and-done vaccinations, including sailors in the maritime industry, who can spend months on cargo and fishing vessels.

"This is the ideal vaccine for them," said Dr. Scott Lindquist of the Washington State Department of Health. With the two-dose vaccines, the state "had to send second doses onward to the next port of call."

Other parts of the world already are facing which-is-best challenges. For instance, AstraZeneca’s vaccine is cleared for use in Australia, Britain and Europe after data suggested it was about 70% effective. Italy’s government recently decided to reserve Pfizer and Moderna shots for the elderly and designate the AstraZeneca vaccine for younger, at-risk workers, sparking protest from the country’s main teachers’ union.

In the U.S., health officials say it's critical for the government to send a clear message.

"Right now, it’s not vaccine against vaccine, it’s vaccine against virus," said Dr. Nirav Shah, director of the Maine Center for Disease Control and Prevention.