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Turkey's inflation rises to 11.89% in October

by DAILY SABAH WITH AA

ISTANBUL Nov 03, 2020 - 10:08 am GMT+3
People wearing masks shop at the covered bazaar in the historic Ulus district, in Ankara, Turkey, April 17, 2020. (AFP Photo)
People wearing masks shop at the covered bazaar in the historic Ulus district, in Ankara, Turkey, April 17, 2020. (AFP Photo)
by DAILY SABAH WITH AA Nov 03, 2020 10:08 am
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Turkey’s annual inflation increased to 11.89% in October, up from 11.75% in September, the country's statistical body said Tuesday.

The inflation rate in October 2019 stood at 8.55%, according to the Turkish Statistical Institute (TurkStat).

Month-on-month, the consumer price index (CPI) surged 2.13%.

The highest annual price increase was recorded in miscellaneous goods and services with 27.4% last month, TurkStat said.

It was followed by food and nonalcoholic beverages with prices increasing by 16.51% and health by 15.60% during the same period.

In a Reuters poll of 13 economists, the median estimate for inflation in October was 11.90%, with forecasts ranging between 12.46% and 11.64%.

The median expectation for the monthly rate was 2.1%, with estimates between 2.65% and 1.9%.

A group of 17 economists polled by Anadolu Agency (AA) last week expected annual inflation to hit 11.76% and monthly inflation to reach 2.01%.

The biggest sectoral rise was in clothing and shoe prices which rose 6.81% in the month and food and nonalcoholic drinks prices climbing 3.03%.

"In October 2020, (on a monthly basis) the index declined for recreation and culture, and alcoholic beverages and tobacco among the main groups by 0.09% and 0.01%, respectively," it institute said.

The official figures also showed that the 12-month average hike in consumer prices was 11.74% as of this October.

The producer price index rose 3.55% month-on-month in October for an annual rise of 18.20%, the data showed.

Turkey's inflation rate has fallen by 0.26 percentage points over the course of this year, having started out at 12.15% in January.

The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) last week raised its 2020 inflation forecast by more than three percentage points.

The bank forecasts the inflation to end the year at 12.1%, up from a previous forecast of 8.9%.

The upward revision was driven by the higher course of exchange rates, output gap and food prices.

The bank also revised upward annual inflation for next year to 9.4% from 6.2% before stabilizing to around 5% in the medium term.

CBRT Governor Murat Uysal said last week that inflation is expected to remain high till year-end.

The bank last month left its policy rate steady at 10.25% and raised its late liquidity window rate to 14.75% to counter the persistent double-digit inflation.

As laid out in Turkey's New Economic Program (NEP) announced by the government this September, the country's inflation rate target is 10.5% this year, 8% next year and 6% in 2022.

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