U.S. President Barack Obama has announced his operation plan to combat the Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham (ISIS). For me, this plan stresses two points in particular: The first one is that ISIS is a paramilitary terrorist organization which has nothing to do with Islam; the second one is that the U.S. can no longer carry out a ground attack on its own like it has before and as such, the ISIS question will be handled carefully by an international coalition pursuing an effective process. In addition to all this, Obama said that they are against Bashar al-Assad and they will not collaborate with the Assad regime to fight ISIS, a point which should also be emphasized. However, Obama's statements have not been welcomed by Republicans in the U.S., something which is known to all. Thousands of years ago, Cicero posed the question "cui bono?" (to whose benefit?) in an effort to find the real reason behind murders, massacres and wars. Who will benefit most from the bloodshed and who will get the most out of the chaos that follows it?
If we consider the current dynamics in the Middle East in light of this question, we can find a satisfactory answer to Cicero's question. The present chaos in the Middle East points to the shortage of energy supply, and lack of enrichment that accompanies this shortage, just like the 20th century. It also means that the dictatorial regimes in the region still persist, which paves the way for the emergence of such organizations. If you can follow closely, Americans who want the U.S. administration to interfere in Iraq in order to combat ISIS (although they organized ISIS themselves) also want the Federal Reserve to increase interest rates soon. This is a complementary economic policy. As long as the strength of the dollar and high interest rates finance the U.S. it will increase its military spending to interfere in the Middle East and all other hot conflict areas in the world. This also shows how the world's arms industry - whether conventional or nuclear weapons - and its financial capital work. Therefore, the Republicans in the U.S., who are the voice of this arms industry and its financial capital, find Obama's ISIS plan insufficient and criticize it.
As is known, the Obama administration (and the U.K. in part) supports Turkey in solving the Kurdish question. But if the reconciliation process initiated by the Justice and Development Party (AK Party) fails to establish a Turkish-Kurdish peace then it would be much more difficult or even impossible to eliminate ISIS. What lies behind the U.S. and the U.K.'s desire to end the Kurdish question is a vision of reconstructing the region due to its strategic importance. This would include providing an uninterrupted energy supply, approving Israel's political legitimacy and solving the Palestinian question as well as reconstructing Syria and Lebanon. Parallel to this, forming a controllable government in Pakistan and solving the problems in Afghanistan are among the main objectives of the U.S. Unlike Bush, the Obama administration wants to control the entirety of the region without resorting to war and to unite it with markets.
After the crisis settles down in the Middle East, the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) will be a new trade and production hub. In accordance with the cooperation with Turkey, the KRG has already signed multidimensional agreements with China, South Korea and the EU. As a result of these agreements, which will open new trade networks, the ports of Basra, Jordan, Aqaba and Mersin will all become more prominent. Moreover, energy transitions and the Samsun-Ceyhan oil pipeline will boost the geo-economic importance of the region, which indicates that we have a market and capital accumulation that is valued at hundreds of billions of dollars. Those who do not get a share of this restructuring - and will lose their capital strength as a result - are objecting to the steps that need to be taken to end the war. They will want to complicate the whole region from Pakistan to Iraq with such organizations as al-Qaida and ISIS.
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