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The bull that won't die: S&P 500 back at a record after months on ice

by

SAN FRANCISCO, CA Aug 21, 2018 - 12:00 am GMT+3
Reuters Photo
|Reuters Photo
by Aug 21, 2018 12:00 am

After a seven-month stall, Wall Street's bull market looks back on track, thanks to Amazon.com, Alphabet and other high-flying technology and consumer discretionary companies.

The widely followed S&P 500 stock index rose as much as 0.57 percent on Tuesday to 2,873.23, putting it above its previous record high of 2,872.87 on Jan. 26. Bolstered by quarterly earnings reports and a rise in stock buybacks, the benchmark S&P 500 has gained over 2 percent in the past month.

Closing above the January high would mean that the benchmark index ended a correction on Feb. 8, according to some investors.

Confirmation that the bull run remains alive comes on the day the S&P matches its longest rally in history, 3,452 days between November 1990 and March 2000, according to S&P Dow Jones indices. On Wednesday, it could claim the title of longest ever.

Following its January high, the S&P 500 slumped 10.2 percent over two weeks, just meeting many investors' definition of a market correction and raising fears that nearly a decade of gains on Wall Street might be over.

Since then, Wall Street has splintered: Small caps have soared thanks to deep corporate tax cuts, while companies exposed to global trade have underperformed, with some investors worried about U.S. President Donald Trump's feud with China and other trading partners over import tariffs.

After steep drops in February and March, the S&P 500 inched slowly back toward record highs as sweeping tax cuts sent earnings sharply higher and provided cash for companies to buy back more of their shares.

The benchmark U.S. index is outperforming other major indexes globally for the year since May, and hasn't looked back.

Fueled by Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet and other high-growth tech and consumer stocks, the Nasdaq has surged 14 percent in 2018, far outperforming the S&P 500's 7 percent rise.

"A lot of it is earnings," said Liz Young, Senior Investment Strategist at BNY Mellon Investment Management in New York. "The technology stocks continue to drive things. We've waited for that theme to go away but it hasn't."

The Russell 2000 index of small companies hit its own record highs on Tuesday, while the S&P 500 materials sector this year has lost 2 percent.

The S&P 500 has been trending higher since early 2009, providing a gain of over 300 percent for investors who stayed on for the entire ride.

About the author
Research Associate at Center for Islam and Global Affairs (CIGA) at Istanbul Sabahattin Zaim University
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