YouGov survey suggests May's Conservatives could lose majority

Published 31.05.2017 23:52

Prime Minister Theresa May's Conservatives could lose seats in next week's general election, leaving Britain with a hung parliament, according to a surprise projection published yesterday.

The Conservatives are likely to lose about 20 seats, leaving the party without an overall majority and ruining May's plan to increase her numbers in order to empower her to push through her Brexit plan and get the "best deal possible", the projection by opinion pollsters YouGov for The Times suggested.

Labor, the largest opposition party, is projected to gain about 30 seats, according to the first forecast based on individual constituencies rather than national vote shares, putting the Conservatives 16 seats short of a majority in parliament.

"The central projection of the model, which allows for a wide margin of error, would be a catastrophic outcome for Theresa May, who called the election when polls pointed to a landslide result," The Times wrote.

"Her support appears to have plunged after the poor reception of the party manifesto, including plans to make more elderly voters pay for home care," the newspaper said.

Recent national opinion polling suggests that Labor has closed the gap on the Conservatives, but not as dramatically as the YouGov projection indicates.

The Conservatives had a lead of about 20 points over Labor in polls conducted in late April, but that has dropped to as little as five points in some recent polls.

An ICM poll for the Guardian on Tuesday put the Conservatives 12 points ahead.

However, the Tories' apparent failure hasn't come because Labor or Jeremy Corbyn suddenly decided to change their policies or rhetoric, which are already near-Communist, but stem from the fact that the Conservatives have started proposing policies that are deeply unpopular with the British.

In addition to increasing costs of healthcare for the elderly, May ditched a pledge to ban ivory trading and said she's "always been in favor of fox hunting", claiming that other ways of killing foxes are "cruel".

The Prime Minister also has plans to heavily control the internet in the UK. "Some people say that it is not for government to regulate when it comes to technology and the internet," it states. "We disagree." Although the government is justifying its pursuit by arguing that the internet is essentially a ‘safe space for terrorists', the wider public is viewing it as heavy interference to personal freedom.

May has been mocked on various social media platforms for ‘going after the internet, animals and the elderly'. It's been suggested that if she sat and did nothing until the election then the Tories would get a more favorable result.

One of the main reasons why Corbyn has lead Labor ever-downwards in the polls and is generally not viewed favorably even by Labor voters is because he's attributed terror attacks, including Manchester, in Britain to "foreign policy."

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