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China's factory activity expands as orders pick up ahead of holidays

by Associated Press

BANGKOK, Thailand Dec 31, 2025 - 1:26 pm GMT+3
This photo shows employees working on a Neolix X3 vehicle production line at a factory of Chinese autonomous delivery vehicle maker Neolix in Yancheng, China, Dec. 4, 2025. (AFP Photo)
This photo shows employees working on a Neolix X3 vehicle production line at a factory of Chinese autonomous delivery vehicle maker Neolix in Yancheng, China, Dec. 4, 2025. (AFP Photo)
by Associated Press Dec 31, 2025 1:26 pm

Chinese factory activity grew for the first time in eight months in December, as orders picked up pace ahead of holidays and builders rushed to finish projects, according to surveys released Wednesday.

The official purchasing managers index (PMI) for manufacturing, a monthly survey of companies, rose to 50.1 this month, the National Bureau of Statistics reported. That was just above the 50 cut off for expansion versus contraction on a scale up to 100. Another private sector survey was at 50.1 for December.

The better-than-expected readings partly reflect easing pressure due to an extended truce in trade tensions with the U.S. They also suggest manufacturers ramped up production ahead of the New Year holidays, when many companies close for days. China's Lunar New Year falls in mid-February this year.

In comments to a New Year's gathering carried Wednesday by China's state media, President Xi Jinping vowed to promote "high-quality development" and to carry out "more positive macroeconomic policies" while ensuring social harmony and stability.

The world's second-largest economy is forecast to grow at a pace just below the official target of about 5% this year, supported by strong activity in high-tech industries and exports. The official PMI for high-tech manufacturing stood at 52.5 in December, up 2.4 percentage points from the previous month.

The report said the PMIs for both equipment manufacturing and the consumer goods industry reached 50.4.

The separate report by RatingDog, a Chinese credit research and analysis company based in the southern city of Shenzhen, said that despite an increase in overall orders, new export sales fell slightly and hiring weakened.

"Overall, the manufacturing sector regained growth at the end of 2025," RatingDog's founder, Yao Yu, said in a statement. "However, the improvement was marginal, with the impact of promotions and new products appearing impulse-driven and their sustainability requiring observation."

The National Statistics Bureau said the PMI measures for food, textiles, clothing and electronics were above a relatively strong 53.

However, while large manufacturers increased their output, factory activity for the small and mid-sized enterprises that account for the lion's share of employment in China remained in contractionary territory. As consumers cut back on spending, conditions for retailers and restaurants also deteriorated, the report said.

Some economists believe China's economy is growing more slowly than official figures suggest. Its leaders are grappling with long-term challenges including a yearslong slump in the country's property sector and excess capacity in many industries, including automaking, that has led to damaging price wars.

Higher costs for raw materials, especially for metals, have put pressure on company profit margins, the RatingDog report said. It noted that exporters had raised prices for the first time in three months to help offset those higher costs.

The upturn in activity may be short-lived as it appears to be helped by a slight increase in government spending, Julian Evans-Pritchard of Capital Economics said in a report.

"The big picture is that the structural headwinds from the property downturn and industrial overcapacity are set to persist in 2026, and there appears to be limited appetite among policymakers for a big increase in demand-side stimulus," he said.

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  • Last Update: Dec 31, 2025 4:26 pm
    KEYWORDS
    chinese economy china factory activity pmi index
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