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The only path to peace

by Cemil Ertem

Jan 20, 2016 - 12:00 am GMT+3
by Cemil Ertem Jan 20, 2016 12:00 am
Turkey's agenda has been preoccupied with the declaration that was signed by more than 1,000 academics last week. The day after this deceleration was released, the PKK conducted a bomb attack on a police station and adjacent police dorms in the southeastern province of Diyarbakır in the dead of night, killing one police officer and five civilians, including children - which made this declaration even more questionable. Turkish people are aware of the implicit purpose in this declaration and reacted to it. Those academics who disclosed the declaration also know that no democratic country allows terrorist acts such as conducting bomb attacks on schools and hospitals and directly targeting civilians in its territories. They are also aware that states take harsh physical measures against the perpetrators of these acts. Indeed, this declaration is not a wish for peace as opposed to what is claimed, instead, it is a very strategic move made by those who increasingly want a civil war environment. The assertion aims to give the impression that a civil war is taking place in the eastern parts of Turkey and it is reminiscent of the one that led to the disintegration of Yugoslavia in the mid-1990s. And, it invites international observers to the country.

However, we are aware that the PKK destroys major social investments, such as schools, hospitals and universities that have been constructed in eastern Turkey over the past 10 years, bombs dams, and eliminates people's social spheres. In the eastern parts of Turkey, the PKK is doing what DAESH does in northern Iraq, which is administrated by the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG). Certainly, the aim is to prevent the commercialization of the Mosul-Kirkuk energy resources in a way that will enhance the welfare of people living in the region. The PKK, which is a paramilitary terrorist force like DAESH, is pushed into the play in order to create an impression of a civil war in eastern Turkey and to prevent the country from becoming influential in Iraq, especially in the region administrated by KRG President Masoud Barzani.

This glut of declarations, which have rocked Turkey's agenda recently, is nothing more than an attempt to justify the initiation of a kind of "Balkanization" project in Turkey. Turkey's commercialization of KRG energy resources by joining hands with the KRG administration and the accompanying economic integration will not only destroy the 20th century status quo in the Middle East, but also boost Turkey's determinative power in the Southern Gas Corridor (SGC). Such a development will both change energy balances for the EU and open a path for a new EU. For a permanent end to the EU crisis, it is essential to ensure political stability in Turkey and adopt a strategy that enables Turkey to access the EU. This, at the same time, is the sole remedy for the resolution of the refugee crisis that occupies the global agenda.

Today, cooperation with a stable Turkey is the sole path for Iran to open up to the world in a stable way and integrate with the West in a smooth manner. Iran needs the SGC to export natural gas and oil. At this point, any solution apart from the SGC will firstly destabilize the Middle East and the Mediterranean region and then nourish Russia's noncompliant "expansionist" strategy.

Today, the region is facing a new war on sharing starting from energy. No country in the region is powerful enough to determine energy and market areas on its own. This being the case, developing a strategy where these countries strive to undermine each other through struggle will lead to a loss for all parties in the long run.

The removal of embargoes on Iran is a step toward stability in the region, but it is not enough. Regarding the ease of sanctions on Iran, as an opportunity to push Russia into a tight corner by pressuring oil prices, is a short-term and a half-baked ideal. Such a strategy can be easily disturbed by a power that wants to escalate the war.

It seems that it brings gains for some in the short term to create instability in Turkey through PKK terror and preventing Turkey's democratization process with the aim of relegating the country's economy and expelling it from competition areas. However, this might grow into a systemic problem that causes losses for everyone in the long run.

Everyone should see that Turkey will not be a Yugoslavia and those who are in an attempt to construct politics through such a disaster scenario will be up against the wall in the near future. If Iran fails to adopt a democratization path like Turkey, the removal of sanctions will merely nourish Iran's expansionist and dictatorial aspects. Such a situation will not resolve any problems in the Middle East, especially the Palestine question, and even make them permanent. As Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stressed many times, the basic problem for Israel's safety was the presence of Iran and Hezbollah, rather than an independent Palestinian state. Iran functioned as a perfect excuse for Israel's hawkish policies. However, this excuse will not disappear with the removal of embargoes. Quite the contrary, Iran's support for Hezbollah might find a justification at the moment. To avoid this, peace must be built in the region, which must also be purified of terrorist organizations such as the PKK and DAESH.

Let us reiterate that it is essential to commercialize not only Iranian, but also Iraqi and Mediterranean energy resources through Turkey and the SGC in order to ensure Iran's full integration into the system. To this end, terrorist organizations such as the PKK and DAESH must be completely liquidated in the entirety of the region. Democratic stability in eastern Turkey means peace and welfare for the whole of the Middle East.
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