While Turkey is heading toward a radical constitutional system change, some power groups that represent the hegemony of the previous century and want to intercept Turkey's path have taken action. This is an attempt to prevent Turkey from turning its successful cross-border struggle with terrorist organizations into permanent economic gains.
The U.S. still cannot understand that there is no difference between Daesh and the People's Protection Units (YPG) in Syria. Both are inseparable paramilitary organizations of a quasi-Balkanization policy that is aimed at fragmenting the region with civil wars. Turkey does not intend to permanently stay in Syria. It first aims to remove the threat targeting itself and then to enable the region's people to return to the residential areas. This is the only way to achieve stability and peace in the region. It is very unfavorable and deeply meaningful that footage showing the U.S.'s support to the YPG is being released.
Turkey will respond to all this in the April 16 constitutional referendum, the possible results of which push the above mentioned groups to act like this.
Greek Cyprus' suspension of talks with its Enosis move (union with Greece) is not separate from this. We also see that the U.S. is in a quandary and cannot yet set off on its new road map despite Donald Trump coming to power.
Depending on this, the Pentagon still insists on the U.S.'s Middle East policy, which was determined during former President Barack Obama's second term and failed in the struggle against terrorist organizations like Daesh. This policy was aimed at destabilizing the Middle East, including Turkey, and practicing a policy similar to Balkanization. However, the failure of the July 15 coup attempt and the fact that the July 15 process led to a - national - system change accompanied the failure of this policy as well. In parallel with this, they are taking a second chance. I wrote the following sentences in this column one week before the July 15 coup attempt last year: "The profit falls arising from German industry, which were delayed through the unification with East Germany in 1990, continued to accelerate across Europe until the end of the 1990s. Therefore, Germany turned the Yugoslavian civil war into a Balkan war, making the second largest move following its East Germany operation. However, Germany's ‘Balkanization' strategy in the Balkans was not only a civil war scenario originating from Continental Europe.
"For instance, Zbigniew Brzezinski, who served as a National Security adviser to former U.S. President Jimmy Carter, drew a new ‘Asia-Balkanization' map including Turkey and spanning to China in his book titled ‘Second Chance.' This map starts from Ankara and reaches China's hot spots by including the Arabian Peninsula, the North African coasts, the entire Caucasus and Russia's immense steppes that have rich energy fields. As is known, this whole region was a new Balkanization area that was declared a ‘war territory' firstly by George H. W. Bush and then George W. Bush to establish a new American hegemony.
"Brzezinski proposed the status quo of a new ‘political stability' on these territories largely by protecting the existing situation without democracy. This was a second chance for the neocons. It was also a chance for Europe, which was in two minds about whether to unite or separate in the post-Cold War period, to form a German and French-led central Europe.
"Today, we see that this strategy is over and Turkey has a large part in this, as it did not accept the existing situation and opted for further democracy and welfare."
In last week's column, I underlined that the EU can no longer adopt a new expansion perspective in its current form. Unless the EU can create a common fiscal policy, it will shrink as a union of countries like Germany, France and the Netherlands. The EU's failure to introduce a new expansion perspective toward its east will have two major negative consequences. First, Turkey-EU relations will increasingly break down - which will negatively affect the EU economy. Greece's fascistic foreign policy will spread and become permanent. This is a new powder keg in the heart of the EU. The resolution of the Cyprus issue will be put into cold storage again and the stability, which the Eastern Mediterranean sorely needs, will be left for another occasion. Second, it will aggravate the Middle East's refugee crisis for Europe. These two consequences will turn the EU's increasingly deteriorating economy into a hornets' nest in the strictest sense.
If Germany insists on this attitude, it will threaten the peace of not only the EU, but also the Middle East. At this point, Eastern Europe must act in unison with Turkey independently of Germany and France. Countries like Poland, Hungary and even Italy do not have to give into Germany's domination. Germany's policy will lead to a refugee influx that Eastern Europe cannot handle.
Small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), which constitute the backbone of the Germany economy, acknowledge this fact. Many business owners are pushing investment opportunities in Turkey in order to maintain their market share in an increasingly shrinking economy and access the Caucasian and African markets. The increasingly ageing Western European market signifies nothing for them now. Also, the overvalued euro is challenging the export opportunities of such enterprises. This, beyond any doubt, is the signal flare of a new crisis.
Turkey's stability is important for overcoming this crisis. Moreover, there is a need for a new expansion perspective including Turkey, or more precisely, for a new EU.