Regardless of what the European Union sought at the negotiation table for Libya, the end result will be determined on the field. Libyan warlord Khalifa Haftar is not apparently seeking an orderly election or a government that would continue the work of the present one; he is trying to execute a coup d'état, which would achieve one thing only: tear up the Turkey-Libyan maritime border delineation deal. This renegade former officer accepted the land-sharing plan with the internationally recognized, U.N.-backed Tripoli government for years. However, as soon as Libyan leader Fayez al-Sarraj and President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan signed the deal on Nov. 27, Haftar started receiving phone calls from his puppet masters.
When Turkey and Libya signed that agreement, Ariel Cohen, a senior fellow at the Atlantic Council, which shapes the "future-organizing forums" at Abu Dhabi with Exxon and the UAE Ministry of Energy, wrote in Forbes magazine that the agreement would disrupt Israel's "historic Leviathan gas project" – a project which, Cohen wrote, would "effectively double the amount of Israeli-produced gas" and "potentially make the small country a net energy exporter."
Israel's partner in that project is the Texas-based Noble energy company. They would export gas to EU countries through a pipeline crossing the Turkish exclusive economic zone and sell the remainder to Egypt. Cohen and his ilk did not ask where the Palestinians were in that scenario since it was their gas that Israel was planning to sell. Nobody questioned the plan of the de facto ruler of the UAE, Crown Prince Mohammed bin Zayed, or Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman of Saudi Arabia's new roles of defending the Sunnis in the region from Iranian aggression. Nor did anyone question Donald Trump in his new role in revising the Sykes-Picot Agreement of the Middle East.
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