There were two winners and a loser in the April 30 elections in Iraq according to official results made public after 20 days. The big winner was Nouri al-Maliki whose Shiite alliance won 93 seats; thus, he will probably remain as prime minister if something extraordinary does not happen and when he forges a new coalition with the Kurds and the Sunnis. The Kurds were the second winners managing to win all the seats allocated to them in the Kurdish districts and also managed to grab eight seats in Kirkuk, eight in Mosul and two in Diyala, making it a grand total of 62 seats. In the 2010 polls Kurds won 57 seats. The loser were the Sunnis who failed to establish an alliance and thus the largest Sunni group called the Muttahidun list led by Usama Nuceyfi won only 23 seats. Other Kurdish groups won a smaller number of seats. Former Prime Minister Iyad Alawi's Al Vataniye won 22 seats.
So Ankara will have to continue to deal with Maliki as the leader of Iraq in the years to come, and thus all plans regarding Iraq and especially concerning the Iraqi Kurds will have to be formulated accordingly. Ankara was already prepared for this outcome, as it was already a foregone conclusion that Maliki would emerge as the winner who has to form a coalition with the Kurds and the Sunnis to be able to run the country. So in the days, weeks and even months to come there will be some tough bar-gaining between the Kurds, Sunnis and Maliki to forge a new coalition. Maliki's relations with Ankara soured when Turkey and the United State backed an alliance by Iyad Alawi, which failed to make an impact in the 2010 polls. Since then, there was a steady build up of friction between Ankara and Baghdad, which has been defused in recent months. Now both Maliki and Ankara have to revive their efforts to normalize ties, and Iraqi Kurds led by Masoud Barzani will hold the key.
Ankara has forged excellent ties with the Iraqi Kurds in the past few years, so much so that Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) Prime Minister Nechirvan Barzani is planning to even buy a house in Ankara, as he has to frequently
come to the Turkish capital. So the first step could be for Ankara to use its good offices to help in the coalition negotiations and convince the Kurds and the Sunnis to be more open handed towards Maliki. Of course this is a complicated issue, as the Iraqi Kurds who have now established an outlet for their oil through Turkey will drive a tough bargain with Maliki. But then Maliki and Turkey see eye to eye on Kirkuk (where a big population of Turkomans live), while the Kurds beg to differ, saying the province should be a part of the KRG. That could be helpful in easing some of the concerns of Maliki. Turkey has a role to play, and it is clear a good tactician like Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoğlu will grab the occasion.
to read our informative text prepared pursuant to the Law on the Protection of Personal Data No. 6698 and to get information about the
used on our website in accordance with the relevant legislation.
6698 sayılı Kişisel Verilerin Korunması Kanunu uyarınca hazırlanmış aydınlatma metnimizi okumak ve sitemizde ilgili mevzuata uygun olarak kullanılan
ilgili bilgi almak için lütfen