Those who have set up a joint front against the ruling Justice and Development Party (AK Party) have been pumping gossip that the government will fall after the elections and that the formation of a coalition government will become inevitable. They are spreading these rumors backed by their doctored public opinion surveys hoping to create a perception that the government has lost the backing of the masses and will be defeated at the polls.
Some people who want this government to go are falling for the perception game and are already making plans for the period after the June 7 elections.
It is true that the AK Party has lost some of its huge popularity, but this is not so great that it will not be able to win enough seats to form the new government. On the contrary, it seems the AK Party, contrary to all the propaganda against it, will win a majority and we will all witness this on June 8 unless something extraordinary happens between now and polling day.
Yes, there are people with religious sensitivities that feel that some members of the AK Party have been violating the sacred rules and values of Islam.
Yes, some people with nationalist sensitivities, especially in central Anatolia, are unhappy with the reconciliation process with the militant Kurds.
However, these elections are not being contested on ideological or political preferences. That is why the opposition parties have filled their election manifestos with economic promises appealing to the masses. They have all promised to increase the minimum wage and they have all promised improvements for pensioners. They have all promised lower energy rates and they have also promised to ease the debt burden on the masses.
So when this is the case, we see even from today that those who invest in the future of Turkey, those who speculate and those who have a vested interest in the stability of the economy have all been rallying to boost the markets with the expectation that the AK Party will remain in power.
The people, as well as big business at home and abroad that have a vested interest in Turkey, want stability, which means a single party government with a majority in Parliament. The AK Party is the only party that can achieve this and everyone is very aware it. They know that all three parties with any hope of getting into Parliament besides the AK Party, including the main opposition Republican People's Party (CHP), the Nationalist Movement Party (MHP) and the pro-Kurdish People's Democracy Party (HDP), are all resigned to the fact that they will not get anywhere near winning a majority, and the only hope they have to coming to power is to win enough seats to be able to join to create a coalition government.
These elections are being fought on economic preferences, and it is clear with the performance of the AK Party in the past 12-and-a-half years that this party is capable of sustaining a viable economy and thus help to maintain stability.
The masses do not want to be involved in an adventure that will jeopardize what they already have in their pockets. The AK Party is their insurance for this.
What is unfortunate is that all this can create the impression within the AK Party that they are unbeatable and indestructible, which is a grand mistake. You cannot hold on to power by blackmailing the masses by saying: "If I go it will be your doom." Then people will not vote for you with enthusiasm, they will opt for you because they are concerned about their future. That, too, is not healthy for a democracy or for the AK Party.