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Dollar retreats as Trump takes over; most global stocks fall

by

NEW YORK Jan 24, 2017 - 12:00 am GMT+3
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by Jan 24, 2017 12:00 am

The dollar retreated Monday, with warnings of wild volatility ahead, as Donald Trump began his presidency by attacking global trade deals and promising to put America first.

Most large global equity markets also fell amid uncertainty over the new US leader's plans. Wall Street, London, Frankfurt, Paris and Tokyo all closed lower.

"America first, markets second," said LCG analyst Jasper Lawler of the day's sentiment on trading floors.

"Attempts to break out into new highs for the year have been temporarily shelved after Donald Trump opted for a protectionist, anti-establishment inauguration address," his note to clients added.

In foreign exchange, the euro jumped to $1.0763 from $1.0697 on Friday.

- 'Apocalyptic tone' -

"The greenback ... seems to have been shaken both by the apocalyptic tone set by Trump at his inauguration, and the global protests that greeted the former Apprentice host's ascension to the highest office in the land," said Spreadex analyst Connor Campbell.

Trump followed up an inauguration speech seen as angry and protectionist by making his first official act the withdrawal from the 12-nation Trans-Pacific Partnership. Trump also said he would renegotiate the North America Free Trade Agreement, threaten to impose border taxes, and his chief spokesman said the new president would not hesitate to confront China over the South China Sea.

Investors greeted Trump's surprise election win in the hopes he would win pro-growth measures such as public works spending, lower taxes and regulatory reforms. Trump confirmed on Monday he plans to pursue those priorities, but markets have been worried the tough talk will lead to a trade war.

Doubts about his spending promises also took their toll on the US currency.

"Sellers swiftly exploited the lack of clarity in the (inauguration) speech regarding the proposed fiscal stimulus measures," said Lukman Otunuga, an analyst at FXTM, predicting more trouble ahead for the greenback.

"The growing threat of Donald Trump's proposed fiscal stimulus failing to keep up with market expectations may ensure dollar weakness becomes a recurrent theme in the short term," he said.

The US unit was down more than four percent on the yen from the highs touched late in December. It was also well down against the euro and even against the pound despite concerns about Britain's exit from the European Union.

"I suspect we're entering extremely volatile times for the dollar," Stephen Innes, senior trader at OANDA, said in a note.

Trump last week said the greenback was too strong against China's yuan and claimed this was "killing" the US economy.

- Key figures at 2200 GMT -

New York - Dow: DOWN 0.1 percent at 19,799.85 (close)

New York - S&P 500: DOWN 0.3 percent at 2,265.20 (close)

New York - Nasdaq: DOWN less than 0.1 percent at 5,552.94 (close)

London - FTSE 100: DOWN 0.7 percent at 7,151.18 points (close)

Frankfurt - DAX 30: DOWN 0.7 percent at 11,545.75 (close)

Paris - CAC 40: DOWN 0.6 percent at 4,821.41 (close)

EURO STOXX 50: DOWN 0.9 percent at 3,271.41 (close)

Tokyo - Nikkei 225: DOWN 1.3 percent at 18,891.03 (close)

Shanghai - Composite: UP 0.4 percent at 3,136.77 (close)

Hong Kong - Hang Seng: UP 0.1 percent at 22,898.52 (close)

Euro/dollar: UP at $1.0763 from $1.0697

Pound/dollar: UP at $1.2524 from $1.2365

Dollar/yen: DOWN at 112.73 yen from 114.58 yen

Oil - West Texas Intermediate: DOWN 47 cents at $52.75 per barrel

Oil - Brent North Sea: DOWN 26 cents at $55.23 per barrel

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