In the wake of terrorist activities resulting in the deaths of 20 police and military officers and six civilians along with HDP leaders' reluctance to clearly condemn the PKK, a recent survey has found that support for the pro-Kurdish party has decreased to 10.3 pct
A recently conducted public survey by the SONAR research institution, which is known to be pro-Republican People's Party (CHP), found that according to its results, the pro-Kurdish Peoples' Democratic Party's (HDP) votes would fall from the 13 percent it secured last time to 10.3 percent. Following the increased terror activities by the PKK that have resulted in the deaths of 20 security officers and six civilians and wounding more than 80 civilians, the HDP and its co-chair, Selahattin Demirtaş, have not used the term "the PKK" in a sentence condemning an attack. In this regard, Demirtaş and his party have been eliciting serious reactions from politicians and the public. Demirtaş's remarks are expected to hurt the party in case of early elections.
Furthermore, the same survey showed a small increase in support for the Republican People's Party (CHP) and the Nationalist Movement Party (MHP). The most significant increase in support from the poll was seen for the Justice and Development Party (AK Party), increasing from 40.8 percent to 42.9 percent.
According to the recent survey conducted with 3,500 participants in 26 provinces between July 26 and Aug. 4, 50.6 percent of participants are in favor of early elections, while 45.2 percent favor establishing a coalition government. The survey found 44.5 percent of participants preferred an AK Party-Nationalist Movement Party (MHP) coalition and 21.2 percent of participants favor an AK Party-CHP coalition. The president of SONAR, Hakan Bayrakçı, said that according to the survey results, it is possible that the AK Party could become the majority party in a possible early election. However, Bayrakçı further underlined that the percentages could change for all political parties.Furthermore, the Ankara-based Objective Research Center (ORC) also recently conducted a survey, in which almost three-quarters of participants said they favor early elections. Conducted in 36 provinces with the participation of 3,200 citizens between July 11 and July 15, the ORC survey found that 72 percent of participants supported early elections and 28 percent support the formation of a coalition government.
According to the survey, 90.2 percent of AK Party voters who participated support early elections and 9.8 percent back a coalition government. For the participating CHP voters, the percentages are closer to 57.9 percent, favoring early elections and 42.1 percent supporting a coalition government. As for MHP voters in the survey, 85.3 percent support early elections and 14.7 percent want a coalition government. The survey found 81.9 percent of participants who voted for the HDP support the formation of a coalition government and 18.1 percent want early elections.
When the survey asked participants with which party they would want their party to form a coalition government, 88 percent of AK Party voters prefer the MHP, 8.4 percent support a coalition with the CHP and 3.6 percent favor forming an alliance with the HDP. According to CHP voters in the survey, 81.6 percent support a coalition government with the MHP and HDP and 18.4 percent favor a coalition with the AK Party. As for MHP voters in the survey, 96.5 percent support a coalition government with the AK Party and 3.5 percent want to see the MHP in a coalition with the CHP and HDP. For participating HDP voters, 56.7 percent support a coalition government with the AK Party and 43.3 percent indicated their preference for a coalition with the CHP and MHP, according to the poll.
As Turkey is wrestling with forming a coalition government or heading to early elections, the survey found voting tendencies have started to change. It found that in the event of early elections, votes for the AK Party would increase to 43.5 percent, the CHP's votes would increase to 27 percent while the MHP would see a decrease in its votes to 15.5 percent and the HDP would decrease to 10.9 percent. The AK Party received the most votes in the June 7 parliamentary elections, receiving 40.87 percent of the vote. The CHP received the second most votes with 24.95 percent followed by 16.29 percent for the MHP and 13.12 percent for the HDP. The survey showed that the biggest regression in votes would be from the HDP, mostly due to increasing aggression against the outlawed PKK's terror activities in eastern Turkey and the HDP's statements diverging from peaceful discourse.
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