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‘Squid Game’ mania helps Netflix beat earnings, subscriber estimates

by Agencies

Oct 20, 2021 - 10:37 am GMT+3
The Netflix logo is displayed at Netflix's Los Angeles headquarters, California, U.S., Oct. 7, 2021. (AFP Photo)
The Netflix logo is displayed at Netflix's Los Angeles headquarters, California, U.S., Oct. 7, 2021. (AFP Photo)
by Agencies Oct 20, 2021 10:37 am
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Netflix posted sharply higher third-quarter earnings and enjoyed booming subscriber growth as its global sensation "Squid Game" helped lure more new customers than expected, the world’s largest streaming service said on Tuesday. It predicted a packed lineup would further boost signups through the end of the year.

After a sharp slowdown in the first half of 2021, Netflix added 4.38 million subscribers from July through September to reach 213.6 million worldwide, a 9% increase from a year ago. Wall Street analysts had projected 3.86 million additions, according to Refinitiv data.

Netflix enjoyed a subscriber boom last year as COVID-19 kept audiences at home, but growth stalled early this year. At the same time, Walt Disney Co.'s Disney+, AT&T Inc.'s HBO Max and other competitors bolstered their offerings. Netflix blamed the earlier weakness in part on a thin slate of new programming caused by production shutdowns from the pandemic.

Then, "Squid Game" debuted on Sept. 17 and surprised executives by becoming the streaming service's most-watched original series in its first month.

On Tuesday, Netflix said a "mind-boggling" 142 million households had watched the dystopian survival drama from South Korea that the company says became its biggest-ever TV show.

The series about people who compete in deadly games to erase financial debt was made with a relatively small budget. It shot to the top of Netflix viewing charts in 94 countries, kick-started sales of track suits and Vans sneakers, and kindled interest in learning Korean. "Squid Game" merchandise is now on its way to retailers, Netflix said.

"Squid Game" blends a tight plot, social allegory and uncompromising violence in the latest South Korean cultural phenomenon to go global.

It features South Korea's most marginalized, including the deeply in debt, a migrant worker and a North Korean defector, competing in traditional children's games for the chance to win 45.6 billion won ($38 million) in mysterious circumstances. And losing players are killed.

The fervor around "Squid Game" also is expected to lift the current quarter. Netflix projected it will pick up 8.5 million new customers by year's end, ahead of industry forecasts of 8.33 million, as it releases a heavy lineup of new programming. Upcoming debuts include big-budget action flick "Red Notice" and a second season of fantasy drama "The Witcher."

It also expects a "more normalized" programming slate in 2022 spread throughout the year, "assuming no new COVID waves or unforeseen events," the company said in a quarterly letter to shareholders.

Shares of Netflix were close to even in after-hours trading at $641 following the earnings report.

Overseas growth

Most new customer pickups in the quarter came from the Asia Pacific market, where Netflix now has 30 million subscribers. Industry experts believe the region may rival the United States and Canada – Netflix's largest market – in three to five years, said Third Bridge senior analyst Joe McCormack.

Netflix is trying new ways to attract customers overseas, including offering a free plan in Kenya. It will take one to two years to tell if that tactic leads to more paying subscribers, the company said.

For the quarter that ended in September, diluted earnings-per-share came in at $3.19, beating analyst expectations of $2.56. Revenue rose 16% to $7.5 billion.

For the quarter that ended in September, Netflix earned $1.45 billion, or $3.19 per share, beating analyst expectations of $2.57. That’s up from $789.9 million or $1.79 per share, a year earlier.

Revenue grew 16% to $7.48 billion from $6.44 billion.

Before the earnings report, Netflix shares had risen roughly 22% this year and were trading near record highs, but their gains lag behind the 54% increase in the Nasdaq.

Netflix, which keeps much of its viewership data secret, also said it will release information more frequently and shift its main publicly reported metric to hours viewed, rather than the number of accounts that watched a title for at least 2 minutes.

The company noted that it competes with a large set of activities beyond TV including TikTok and Fortnite. When Facebook suffered a global outage in early October, "our engagement saw a 14% increase during this time period," Netflix said.

Executives did not address worker complaints about a Dave Chappelle comedy special, which the company has previously defended. Some employees say Chappelle made comments that are harmful to transgender people, and they plan a walkout on Wednesday.

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